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Michele Suriano

Prepare for the Unexpected!

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By Mack Bekeza

Ever wonder what would happen if you were not able to make critical decisions by yourself because you were incapacitated? Is there anything you can do to prepare for the unexpected? Yes, there is! While you are still able to do so, there are three crucial documents that all adults should have to be prepared for one of life’s major curveballs. The documents include:

  1. The Financial Power of Attorney (“FPOA”): This is a document that allows an individual (the “principal”) to appoint someone (an “agent”) to make financial decisions on their behalf. This authority can be in effect immediately or come into force when the principal is incapacitated. This can also be beneficial for those who travel internationally and will not be available to sign financial documents.
  2. The Medical Power of Attorney (“MPOA”): This is a document that appoints an agent to make most medical decisions on someone’s behalf if they are incapacitated. It is crucial to also include something called a HIPAA waiver which will allow the agent to access medical records. Without the HIPAA waiver, the agent might not be able to act in the best interest of the principal due to lack of information. It is also important to know that if the principal is in terminal condition, a MPOA will not suffice. In that instance, there is another document that will.
  3. The Living Will/Advanced Directive: This document will allow an individual to decide how they want to be treated in the instance that they are in terminal condition and cannot communicate verbally. For instance, the individual can elect to refuse to be on life support or to be heavily medicated so they can pass peacefully. But perhaps the reason why this document is so crucial is because it will remove the burden from family members required to make these painful decisions and can even prevent families from falling apart due to disagreements.

So, what if you have children or if you were to pass away earlier than expected? If so, how can you communicate those wishes to your children along with other family members?

On December 13th, Castle Rock Investment Company is hosting a holiday event about how you can communicate your wishes to your loved ones with a “Love Letter.” The Love Letter™ just might be one of the best gifts you can give to your family! If you would like to learn more about this event, please go to www.castlerockinvesting.com and register on our home page. You will be glad you did!

For additional information on the event or to register, please contact Kristen Sanchez at Kristen@castlerockinvesting.com.

©2016 Castle Rock Investment Company. All rights reserved. Please share your insights and comments with us at Info@Castlerockinvesting.com

Castle Rock Investment Company to Host “Family Love Letter” Event

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47ee43aa-111a-469e-92e2-41dddf180628Castle Rock Investment Company (“Castle Rock”) is accepting registrations for its complimentary event: “Family Love Letter: A Family Affair,” to be held on December 13th from 5:00pm-7:30pm at its office in Castle Rock, Colorado.

At this event, attendees will learn how they can prepare for a time of loss or incapacity by creating their own Family Love Letter. This planning will prevent rash decisions and mistakes at a time of grief or confusion and serve as a guide for a smooth transition.

“We are so excited to host an event that will assist families in creating a sound future for their loved, ones,” said Michele Suriano, President of Castle Rock Investment Company. “Creating a Family Love Letter can help with sensitive conversations that families must have about preserving, protecting, and transferring the legacy that loved ones leave behind.”

During the workshop, participants will be given a workbook to complete that includes information on assets, advisers, liabilities, insurance benefits, documents and family history.

REGISTER

The event will be held at Castle Rock’s office at 333 Perry Street, Third Floor Conference Room in Castle Rock, Colorado.

For additional information on the event or to register, please contact Kristen Sanchez at Castle 303.719.7523 or by emailing her at Kristen@castlerockinvesting.com.

 

Water Cooler Wisdom: Third Quarter 2016

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By Mack Bekeza

The Presidential Election and What to Know

Despite the pleasant performance in the stock market for 2016, investors are becoming more doubtful about the global economy as a whole in regards to how “pleasant” future growth will be. On top of that, The U.S is having one of the most interesting presidential elections in history. With both of the leading candidates making big promises to the public, how will these proposed actions affect the economy as a whole? But perhaps the biggest question and misconception that U.S investors have is “How does the President affect the economy?”

For our response, we want to point out 3 big myths about how the President affects the economy

            1. Capital Markets perform better when Republicans are in the White House:  

Although many consider the Republican party as the “pro-business” party, if you look at the returns of the Dow Jones Industrial Average since 1897, the markets do not give a hoot about who is president.

2. Major pieces of legislation get passed once the new President assumes office:

With the exceptions of the Affordable Care Act and Dodd-Frank, The United States rarely makes major policy changes in one major swoop, rather in small increments.

3. The President has as much of an impact on the economy as consumers and businesses:

     Although the media places major scrutiny on the President over the U.S Economy, government spending only accounts for 17.7% of total GDP, while the remaining 82.4% comes from consumer spending, private investments, and foreign trade.

So… will this presidential election completely change the way we invest? More than likely no. However, it is important to note the U.S GDP is expected grow between 1.5 to 2% over the next decade. This is primarily due the recent and projected dismal growth in the U.S labor force along with over $30 trillion in private wealth being transferred to younger generations. In other words, it is more crucial to observe how Millennials begin to take charge of the U.S Economy rather than who becomes president.

Attached are slides that provide more detail regarding presidential elections and major leading economic indicators.

©2016 Castle Rock Investment Company. All rights reserved. Please share your insights and comments with us at Mack@CastleRockInvesting.com.

 

Water Cooler Wisdom: Fourth Quarter 2015

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“What, if anything, can the rest of the world do to mitigate the volatile China impact?” – Anonymous client

Great question…and unfortunately, I don’t know the answer. Free trade is a basic American principle than underpins our capitalist system (my editor removed “mostly capitalist”). Of course, we all know that free trade isn’t truly “free” and America still operates from an unfair position with China. This is not new in 2015 but what’s changed over time is how quickly information is disseminated to “investors,” (human or not) and the speed at which our intermediaries can transfer funds.

Watching China move from a manufacturing to a service economy is like watching an awkward teen move into adulthood. You can’t hasten the pace, or make them mature overnight, since some things just take time. China implemented market circuit breakers on the first day of trading in 2016 that were tested that same day. Trading was suspended for 15 minutes when the market (CSI300 Index) dropped 5% and halted the rest of the day after the market dropped 7%. The circuit breaker was deactivated later that week after halting trading twice and exacerbating the market sell-offs it was designed to limit.

Back at home, the U.S. economic numbers generally look sound but there’s nothing to get excited about. We are missing that one glaring opportunity to spur inflation and, in turn, wage growth. Long-term GDP growth of 1.5% is a yawner, labor force participation is down to 62.5%, and we know the graduating class of 2015 is the most indebted class ever.  In other words, they’ve already consumed a larger part of their future income than previous graduates. Talk about a drag…on the economy.

It is ironic but a drop in the value of the U.S. dollar, an increase in interest rates, and a drop in the supply of oil actually sounds good right now (see “Oil Markets”). It makes me long for the days of 13% interest rates and long lines at the gas pump when you could only fill up on odd or even days (depending on the last number on your license plate).

But then again…stagflation is depressing. I’d take today’s economy over the 1970’s any day. Economists disagree on whether there will be three or four Federal Reserve rate hikes in 2016 (see “The Fed and Interest Rates”) and in spite of a 0% return in money markets, we have almost $12 Trillion in cash (notice the capital “T,” see “Cash Accounts”).

Conclusion
As usual, we recommend a balanced portfolio with a risk profile suitable for each investor’s tolerance and goals. 2015 seemed to play out the new normal of volatility, but we should continue to invest wisely, steadily and with discipline. Volatility is here to stay.

Water Cooler Wisdom: Third Quarter 2015

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During last quarter’s review meeting, I promised a snarky review this quarter, but “good grief” as Charlie Brown would say. The “Grexit” story from July feels insignificant at this point. Greece is now negotiating the “transfer” of over 50,000 migrants and refugees. In fact, the International Organization for Migration reported that more than 35,000 migrants and refugees arrived in Greece during the first week of October alone for a total of almost 435,000 since January.

Perspective: It’s hard to get upset about a reduction in your pension check when you are surrounded by refugees who were forced to flee their homes by armed conflict. A tough year is all relative.

The vast majority of Syrian refugees have fled to neighboring countries, including Turkey (about 1.9 million), Lebanon (about 1.1 million), and Jordan (about 630 thousand). The impact of the global migrant crisis and the response by government leaders is a bigger issue than can be addressed here. Germany is expecting more than 800,000 people to claim asylum this year, which may provide a little relief with their aging demographic issues. Perhaps a silver lining?

But let’s move on to the stories that impacted the bottom line.

China Slowdown

At the beginning of August, we became aware of the ongoing slowdown in China when July’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (“PMI”) fell to 47.8. Just eight days later, the Chinese government unexpectedly devalued the Yuan by 2.0%, surprising markets and sending stock prices tumbling around the world and making us all believers that something was awry in China. When the August PMI came in at 47.3, it reinforced concerns of a global slowdown. That weighed even further on global commodities and markets prompting the Fed to leave rates unchanged yet again. It appears that China is struggling to transition from an investment-driven economy to a consumer one and they may have mistakenly used one of their tools as a sledgehammer.

Commodities

Remember the days when it seemed as if China was going to either consume or contractually gobble up most of the world’s natural resources? It reminded me of when my father would complain over dinner about the Japanese buying up Manhattan real estate in the 1980s. The purchase of Rockefeller Center really lit him up. In the slides that follow, you’ll see China’s immense consumption of industrial metals in 2014, a dramatic drop in its GDP contribution from investment in 2015, and the current level of commodity prices.

Conclusion

As usual, we recommend a balanced portfolio with a risk profile suitable for each investor’s tolerance. Participants will not be pleased when they receive their third quarter statements but, hopefully, we have all learned to invest wisely, steadily and with discipline. Good grief.

Full Report with Slides

White House Memo: A Moment of Opportunity for Fiduciaries to Retirement Plans

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Famous showdown between "Fast Eddie" Felson and “Minnesota Fats” in the iconic American film, The Hustler
Showdown between “Fast Eddie” Felson and “Minnesota Fats” in the iconic American film, The Hustler

If you think we’re letting go of the “fumbling children” reference made by FSI chairman Adam Antoniades, you have another thing coming. He reminds me of the proud “Minnesota Fats” character in the classic film The Hustler— he doesn’t want to recognize the truth and talent of the situation he’s faced with by “Fast Eddie” Felson (Paul Newman), because it means that his reign as best player has ended.

Mr Antoniades goes so far to call the leaked White House Memo from January 13 simplistic, though it refers to more PhD studies than his fumbling response could even spell, so he’ll have to try and respond again.

[Read more…] about White House Memo: A Moment of Opportunity for Fiduciaries to Retirement Plans

Declaration of Independence

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“Can you be more specific?”

Embarrassing, but true: the retirement industry is asking that of the US government.

The definition of a Fiduciary needs to be more specific because of cases where Plan Sponsors are legally charged unreasonable fees for a long time, but the Department of Labor’s interpretation is undesirable to Wall Street. Of course, Wall Street is on the receiving end of these unreasonable fees.

As an investment advisory firm who identifies in writing as a fiduciary to our clients, we uphold the interests of our client above those of any other interest, because we have no other interested parties. The unfortunate reason that other investment advisors will not agree to sign a fiduciary agreement with a client is because they are “promised” to a large company, who profits from a retirement plan through hidden fees.

While the Plan Sponsor is unaware of this other agreement, and often the Investment Advisor is not entirely upfront about this agreement with the Plan Sponsor’s representatives, it comes out in the end through hidden fees and a whole mess of ugly policies.

The sort of game run here should be illegal. Not because the Plan Sponsors are not careful, instead they often are smart and diligent, but because they are simply not protected by the law. Up to this point, the law is unclear. The Independent Advisor they supposedly hire is not, after all, independent according to a stricter definition now proposed by the Department of Labor, led by Phyllis Borzi.

Insist upon a clear definition of an independent advisor so that you know your advice comes for the interest of your retirement plan, and not for the interest of someone else’s quasi-legal activity. Sign the petition at http://www.thepetitionsite.com/414/401/760/tell-washington-to-stand-up-to-wall-street/

 

Michele L. Suriano, Accredited Investment Fiduciary™, is president of Castle Rock Investment Company, a woman-owned SEC registered investment advisory firm serving qualified retirement plans. www.CastleRockInvesting.com

Not that Complicated

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FSI Chairman Adam Antoniades, from Think Advisor
FSI Chairman Adam Antoniades, from ThinkAdvisor

In any fight, there are two sides waving their arms around.

The Financial Services Institute, or FSI, states in response to a recent White House memo that changing the way the delicate fiduciary system is run will ruin everything. The Financial Services Institute, or FSI, is in opposition to redefining the Fiduciary Standard as it is proposed because of various reasons, some more partisan than others. In general, the FSI puts investor advisors first, and the DOL puts workers and clients first.

How could increased or maintained responsibility of advisors lead to greater abuse of power? Among the first things said by the FSI is the atypical “hrrumph, well people outside the industry just don’t understand the complexities of how we deal with these things.” When in reality, it’s not that complicated: you protect the interest of your clients retirement if you are forced to put their interests first under the law, so why not stop dancing around this and just execute the priority anyway?

Demand protection for your retirement you deserve. Sign the petition to here at SaveOurRetirement.org: http://saveourretirement.com/take-action.html

 

Michele L. Suriano, Accredited Investment Fiduciary™, is president of Castle Rock Investment Company, a woman-owned SEC registered investment advisory firm serving qualified retirement plans. www.CastleRockInvesting.com